This could lead to some interesting things, I don't think the developers give their results enough credit. I think this could lead to ubiquitous computing, with truly personal computers, woven into our clothes, and even more of the products we use daily.
Saturday, November 26, 2005
Plastic computer chips
Space
This could lead to very good things, if they can get some contracts going, this would speed the commercialization of space, they would also give some competition to SpaceX, both which would be a very good thing.
Synthetic muscle
Synthetic muscle based on the current polymers could be 100000 times faster than they currently are, if we used a different way of triggering them. Researchers suggest that the technical challenges put this a decade or more away, but that's probably based on linear thinking, so I'd say 5 maybe on this one.
technorati tags: artificial, muscle
Fusion power
This promises to be a great thing if it ends with success. It would eventually eliminate our dependance on fossil fuels, once our infrastructure converted over. This could also give a push to the hydrogen car movement, with these generators to split the water, you wouldn't be dependant on fossil fuels for that.
technorati tags: fusion, electricity, plasma, reactor
Sunday, November 20, 2005
Google Print
This has the possibilty of becoming something like a modern day Libray of Alexandria, if only people would give it a chance. I don't see the problem with the way Google is implementing this. If you're not going to have an issue with a public library allowing people to borrow books, why would you have an issue with this? I see this as yet another symptom of the litigious society that we have become.
Solar Tower and Space Elevator
This looks like there could be some good synergy between these two projects, but like one of the comments said, you couldn't locate the space elevator in Australia, that has to be located at the equator.
Light chips
Seems like it was just two weeks ago when the possiblity of computers made of light was brought up. Oh wait, it was. IBM has made a prototype switching chip using photon waveguides which can slow down light, with the idea that such a device could synchronise data streams by slowing some streams, allowing others to catch up. However heating the waveguides takes a long time compared with the switching speed needed in an optical network. And the waveguides have to be carved with an accuracy of 1 nanometre.
Friday, November 04, 2005
Convergance
Biotechnology, which is known primarily by its medical and agricultural applications, is increasingly being focused on the building of new biological materials and machines in an astonishing diversity of structures, functions, and uses. The advent of nanotechnology has accelerated this trend.
And it is information technology that is pulling all this together. Information technology has been the catalyst behind the convergance off these technologies, allowing much greater collaboration, search, information dispersal, and far easier research.
Tuesday, November 01, 2005
1918 Flu virus again
Someone who supports my earlier position on the publication of the 1918 flu virus genome
Nanoethics
as much damage as future nanotech devices might cause, it’s nothing
compared to the damage that bad policies or overly cautious ethical
fatwas can make. Is humanity ready to break the carbon barrier? We’re about as ready as we’ll ever be.
I would normally agree with Ronald Bailey on this one, waiting for ethical policies and regulation are the road to stagnation, just look at what the FDA has done to the drug industry. In this scenario I think we have to be careful though, this has an importance that is even higher than the nuclear dilemma we faced a couple of generations ago, as it could become more destructive, or more beneficial.
Technorati Tags: nanotechnology, ethics
Buckypaper
This material has an incredible range of applications, from military armor to computer displays. They didn't say in the article if the single layer paper was flexible, but if so this could also be used as electronic paper. It could also take care of two applications at once, acting as both armor and active camouflage.
Technorati Tags: buckypaper, electronic paper
Electronic paper
This looks promising, now we can do away with print newspapers, books, magazines, etc. This could also have some interesting military applications, can you say active camouflage, I knew you could.
Technorati Tags: electronic paper
Hydrogen biofuel cell
As an alternative to the car that makes it's own fuel, we have this little number that uses an enzyme as catalyst instead of precious metals. Seems we are going to get to the hydrogen economy one way or another.
Technorati Tags: alternative fuel, hydrogen, enzyme, catalyst
Richard Smalley
We will all miss the passing of this great man in nanotech, despite the fact that he didn't believe in the possibility of molecular machines as Eric Drexler envisions them, his views did stimulate the discussion and get some press. Here is a link to the famous Smalley vs. Drexler counterpoint debate:
Saturday, October 29, 2005
1918 Flu genome
I have to take issue with Kurzweil on this one, as a computer security person, I dislike the thought of "security through obscurity". While this can be a tool to keep information from bad people, you can't rely on it to do so, and IMO publishing this will allow more good scientists to be able to work on a cure or vaccine, so I think publishing the information does more good than harm in this case. With something like an atom bomb (a reference Ray uses to support his argument for not publishing this kind of data) there isn't much you can do to defend against the bomb by knowing how to build it, that is not the case with a virus.
Technorati Tags: 1918 flu virus, flu, genetic sequence, genome
LiquidMetal
Not quite T2, but still cool:
[Vitreloy] showed
massive strength: a one inch wide bar could lift 300,000 pounds,
compared to a titanium bar of the same size that could only lift
175,000 pounds. Although this material had super strength, it lacked
the attributes that make metals tough. Vitreloy, was more robust than
window pane glass, but still cracked.
Paul Kim improved Vitreloy's
toughness while giving it the flexibility to allow it to be made into
many different shapes. Now, the new line of Liquidmetal alloys is on
the rise.
This has been available for over 2 years and isn't everywhere? I'd think this would be great for manufacturing just about anything that was made out of metal, but maybe it's just starting, or people are looking to carbon nanotubes
Technorati Tags: liquidmetal, vitreloy, metal alloy
Predicting the future
Some interesting predictions on what won't be around in 35 years:
- John Browne: Auto Emissions {S}
- Craig Mundie: Doctors' Offices {S}
- Peter Schwartz: The War on Drugs
- Esther Dyson: Anonymity {R}
- Felipe Fernández-Armesto: The King of England {S}
- Peter Singer: The Sanctity of Life
- Jacques Attali: Monogamy
- Minxin Pei: The Chinese Communist Party {R}
- Julie L. Gerberding: Polio {S}
- Lawrence Lessig : The Public Domain
- Richard N. Haass: Sovereignty {S}
- Harvey Cox: Religious Hierarchy {S}
- Shintaro Ishihara: Japanese Passivity {R}
- Christopher Hitchens: The Euro
- Fernando Henrique Cardoso: Political Parties {S}
- Lee Kuan Yew: Laissez-Faire Procreation {S}
Here's my take
- John Browne: Auto Emissions {S} - not at stretch here, this will probably come true, although we may have "emissions" that are quite different than what we now have.
- Craig Mundie: Doctors' Offices {S} - I doubt this one, I think doctors are going to always want to be able to see the patient, we may go back to more house calls IMO
- Peter Schwartz: The War on Drugs God I hope this one comes true, the "war" on drugs has been one of the biggest wastes of money ever
- Esther Dyson: Anonymity {R} - probably true as well, you may be able to get some for limited applications, like browsing the internet or something.
- Felipe Fernández-Armesto: The King of England {S} - who cares?
- Peter Singer: The Sanctity of Life - This one is something of a cop-out on a prediction IMO, Singer takes the stance that the "hard-core" view of what life is will change, it will be the concept of an individual, not of life itself, that will have sanctity. He presumes that since we are re-defining when the life of an individual starts and ends (i.e. through the use of embryonic stem cells, and the Terry Schiavo case).
- Jacques Attali: Monogamy highly doubtful, lots of people have been predicting this one for a long time. The only way this will change is through the evolution of the species, not going to happen in a generation.
- Minxin Pei: The Chinese Communist Party {R} - another one I desperately hope is true, but I have my doubts
- Julie L. Gerberding: Polio {S} - Entirely possible
- Lawrence Lessig : The Public Domain doubt it, the concept of group ownership seems to be going up, not down, look at the GPL and it's derivatives
- Richard N. Haass: Sovereignty {S} - no, the US will never give this up.
- Harvey Cox: Religious Hierarchy {S} - it's lasted 2000 years, why would it go away in the next 35?
- Shintaro Ishihara: Japanese Passivity {R} - reading the article, this is entirely plausible, but depends a lot on what happens politically in the region, that part is much harder to forsee.
- Christopher Hitchens: The Euro - did we care when it was created? will we care if it goes away?
- Fernando Henrique Cardoso: Political Parties {S} - nope, that's how our government works
- Lee Kuan Yew: Laissez-Faire Procreation {S} - doubt it, there will always be those of us that are irresponsible.
Friday, October 28, 2005
top down nanotech
A good article from the folks at CRN on how quickly the two methods for making nanoscale machines are converging. I think once the two are combined, we will very quickly after that see the first self replicating nanofactories, and the revolution of the Singularity will have begun.
Technorati Tags: nanotech, the singularity, CRN, nanotechnology
Space Elevator
Well, they may not have gotten far, but at least this is generating publicity. When someone actually wins, we'll see a lot more progress, and hopefully soon a working one.
Technorati Tags: space elevator, NASA, Beam Power Challenge
Thursday, October 27, 2005
Towards molecular machines
More steps in the molecular machine direction. This process would keep incorrectly formed base nano-particles out of the assembly of complex nano-machines, so we don't have to compensate as much in the design of the machines to allow for error.
Technorati Tags: nanotechnology, molecular machines, nanomachines